Western Australia is set to be lashed by "rare and dangerous" winds and tides today as ex-tropical cyclone Mangga reaches the west coast. If the high weakens, or remains over the Tasmania area, it could allow the cyclone to directly move into New Zealand.

The powerful cyclone made landfall on Monday in Sana province, an island north of Vanuatu’s capital Port Vila, with winds as high as 235 kilometres an hour.

A large high pressure system over Tasmania early next week will play a significant role guiding this tropical low – if the high comes in faster or grows larger it could keep the tropical cyclone north of NZ. New Zealand may escape a swiping from a tropical cyclone developing east of Australia that is drifting into our region of the Pacific. Tropical cyclone, also called typhoon or hurricane, an intense circular storm that originates over warm tropical oceans and is characterized by low atmospheric pressure, high winds, and heavy rain.Drawing energy from the sea surface and maintaining its strength as long as it remains over warm water, a tropical cyclone generates winds that exceed 119 km (74 miles) per hour.

Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook - October 2018 Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook: Near-normal tropical cyclone activity overall during November-April, but increased east and reduced west of the Date Line; multiple severe tropical cyclones expected. Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project - via NCAR RAL (incl multi-model tracks) Tropical Cyclone Tracks from Experimental Forecast & Ensemble Models - NOAA ESRL TCeps - forecast tracks from global EPS (incl NCEP, UKMO, CMC, EC) UK Met Office forecast track bulletins - S.Pacific & … Experts predict winds could … Tropical Cyclone Harold lashed Vanuatu, ripping off roofs and downing telecommunications, before moving towards Fiji and Tonga.

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